Current location:opinions >>
Top scientist warns AI could surpass human intelligence by 2027
opinions966People have gathered around
IntroductionThe computer scientist and CEO who popularized the term 'artificial general intelligence' (AGI) beli ...
The computer scientist and CEO who popularized the term 'artificial general intelligence' (AGI) believes AI is verging on an exponential 'intelligence explosion.'
The PhD mathematician and futurist Ben Goertzel made the prediction while closing out a summit on AGI this month: 'It seems quite plausible we could get to human-level AGI within, let's say, the next three to eight years.'
'Once you get to human-level AGI,' Goertzel, sometimes called 'father of AGI,' added, 'within a few years you could get a radically superhuman AGI.'
While the futurist admitted that he 'could be wrong,' he went on to predict that the only impediment to a runaway, ultra-advanced AI — far more advanced than its human makers — would be if the bot's 'own conservatism' advised caution.
Mathematician and futurist Ben Goertzel made the prediction while closing out a summit on AGI las week: 'we could get to human-level AGI within, let's say, the next three to eight years'
Goertzel made his predictions in Panama City, Panama during his closing speech for the 2024 Beneficial AI Summit, which is partially sponsored by his firm SingularityNET
Goertzel made his predictions during his closing remarks last week at the '2024 Beneficial AI Summit and Unconference,' partially sponsored by his own firm SingularityNET where he is CEO.
'There are known unknowns and probably unknown unknowns,' Goertzel acknowledged during his talk at the event, held this year in Panama City, Panama.
'No one has created human-level artificial general intelligence [AGI] yet; nobody has a solid knowledge of when we're going to get there.'
Goertzel has been investigating what he calls artificial super intelligence (ASI) — which he defines as an AI so advanced that it matches all of the brain power and computing power of human civilization combined
But, unless the processing power, in Goertzel's words, required 'quantum computer with a million qubits or something,' an exponential escalation of AI struck him as inevitable.
'My own view is once you get to human-level AGI, within a few years you could get a radically superhuman AGI,' he said.
In recent years, Goertzel has been investigating a concept he calls 'artificial super intelligence' (ASI) — which he defines as an AI that's so advanced that it matches all of the brain power and computing power of human civilization.
Goertzel listed 'three lines of converging evidence' that, he said, support his thesis.
First, he cited the updated work of Google's long-time resident futurist and computer scientist Ray Kurzweil, who has developed a predictive model suggesting AGI will be achievable in 2029.
Kurzweil's idea, which will be given fresh detail in his forthcoming book 'The Singularity is Nearer,' drew on data documenting the exponential nature of technological growth within other tech sectors to help inform his analysis.
Next, Goertzel cited all the well-known recent improvements made to so-called large language models (LLMs) within the past few years, which he pointed out have 'woken up so much of the world to the potential of AI.'
Goertzel is perhaps most well-known for his work on Sophia the Robot, the first robot ever to be granted legal citizenship. Goertzel (right) has toured Sophia (left) as part of SingularityNET's push for a new online space for the exchange of AI algorithms
READ MORE: Ex-Google CEO Eric Schmidt says A.I. could endanger humanity in 5 YEARS - as he likens devastation to nuking Nagasaki and Hiroshima
Former Google CEO Eric Schmidt (pictured) is pushing for international governments to come together to regulate AI before it gets out of control. Speaking at a summit last November, Schmidt compared the need for regulating AI to weapon regulations after the bombings of Nagasaki and Hiroshima during WWII.
AdvertisementLastly, the computer scientist, donning his signature leopard print hat, turned to his own infrastructure research designed to combine various types of AI infrastructure, which he calls 'OpenCog Hyperon.'
The new infrastructure would marry more matural AI, like LLMs and new forms of AI that might be focused on other areas of cognitive reasoning beyond language, be it math, or physics or philosophy, to help create a more well-rounded true AGI.
Goertzel's 'OpenCog Hyperon.' has gotten the backing and interest of others in the AI space, including Berkeley Artificial Intelligence Research (BAIR) which hosted an article he cowrote with Databricks CTO Matei Zaharia and others last month.
This is not the first potentially dire or unquestionably bold prediction on AI that Goertzel has made in recent years.
In May 2023, the futurist said AI has the potential to replace 80 percent of human jobs 'in the next few years.'
'Pretty much every job involving paperwork,' he said at the Web Summit in Rio de Janeiro that month, 'should be automatable.'
Goertzel added that he did not see this as a negative, asserting that it would allow people to 'find better things to do with their life than work for a living.'
That same month, he also told the site Futurism: 'I've done drugs with an AI, if by that we mean I have done drugs and then interacted with an AI.'
The 'psychedelic' practice, part of his work on 'algorithmic music composition' in the 1990s, is just one of many eccentric episodes in Goertzel's history.
The self-described panpsychist, who has said he believes even 'a coffee cup has its own level of consciousness,' has suggested that researchers pursue the creation of a 'benign superintelligence.'
Goertzel has also proposed an AI-based cryptocurrency rating agency capable of identifying scam tokens and coins.
But perhaps the futurist computer scientist is most well-known for his work on Sophia the Robot, the first robot ever to be granted legal citizenship.
Tags:
Reprint:Friends are welcome to share on the Internet, but please indicate the source of the article when reprinting it.“Culture Circuit news portal”。http://andorra.graduatethesis.org/news-30f399964.html
Related articles
Strictly star Nadiya Bychkova reveals she doesn't know if she's on the show's 2024 line
opinionsStrictly star Nadiya Bychkova has revealed she doesn't know if she's secured a place on the BBC show ...
【opinions】
Read moreYour guide to a year in Greece: Time your trip to get the best of the country's historic sites
opinionsAvoiding the crowds while seeing the great sites of Greece isn’t easy.Last summer, police were even ...
【opinions】
Read moreOn Your Side: Survey reveals many college students carry credit
opinionsOn Your Side: College students and credit-card debt 03:38 ...
【opinions】
Read more
Popular articles
- Queen Camilla reveals she's seen the first season of Bridgerton
- Michigan school shooter's mother convicted of manslaughter
- Efeso Collins' funeral to be held in Auckland on Thursday
- How to get around the great Easter flight rip
- Amir Khan's £11.5m luxury wedding venue finally hosts its first marriage: Bride arrives on horse
- I do one of the world's most dangerous jobs
Latest articles
Election 2024: Biden and Trump bypassed the Commission on Presidential Debates
Cancer experts urge Pharmac to fast
Rampaging elephant herd razes 500km path of destruction
Now THAT'S a holiday photo album: Couple who sold everything they own to travel share 15 jaw
Online reading or offline clubs? Young Chinese embrace both in digital era
Telling the story of Taiwan beyond the cross
LINKS
- (BRF2023) Xi to Address Opening Ceremony of 3rd Belt and Road Forum for Int'l Cooperation
- Industrial chain sharpens China's edge
- Children learned scientific knowledge with National Science Popularization Day approaching
- China Eastern Airlines to operate more C919 planes
- Freight service in focus ahead of 6th CIIE
- AI governance should be on security agenda
- Ready to be world's largest spender on R&D
- Stronger support for advanced machine tools urged
- Mobile World Congress 2023 sees strong return of Asian participants
- Car sales expected to grow 3% in 2023